And there’s a 98% chance of one or more magnitude-6.0 or greater quakes hitting the Bay Area in that same timeframe. Scientists predict that within a 30-year period (beginning in 2014), there’s a 51 percent chance that the San Francisco region specifically will experience one or more magnitude-7.0 or greater earthquakes.These and several other major faults in the region are part of the San Andreas fault system and can cause damaging earthquakes, like the 1989 Loma Prieta earthquake. The Calaveras and Hayward faults extend up the east side of the San Francisco Bay.The main trace of the San Andreas fault runs through much of the State of California, including the Santa Cruz Mountains, up the San Francisco Peninsula, and along the Marin and Sonoma County coasts.
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